I am sorry, good people--but statistically, it seems that meteorological assertions relating to rainfall are no more predicative than my own guesstimates. What I mean to say is that I believe, if I were to run the numbers through SPSS or something, I'm sure I would find, if I were to tabulate my own predictions (which are made by looking out a window) and measure these against those made by the weatherman, there would be exceedingly little difference in terms of accuracy between both cases.
Now, I'm about to write a sentence that you're no doubt familiar with:
'Mostly fine with a chance of showers and possible rain clearing'.
Oh thankyou, professor science! Whatever the f*%$ would I have done had I not been privy to such arcane information! You are truly the mouthpiece of Zeus himself!
I mean seriously what does that even mean? What kind of nonsense language is that anyway--so what's being said here really, when you break it down, is that it might rain, and if that does happen conditions will be overcast until they aren't anymore, but it also might not and if it does, it will stop raining at some point anyway at which time conditions will revert back to normal pre-rain conditions.
Imagine if I said to you 'Someone is going to win the lottery, and I know what the numbers will be.
And then I proceeded to prattle off every single possible number combination.
In the same way, weather forecasts aren't predictions. They are statements.
It's not hard to be right when literally every possible outcome is determined, and accounted for, within the language of the prediction itself.
*shakes head*
unbelievable
Now, I'm about to write a sentence that you're no doubt familiar with:
'Mostly fine with a chance of showers and possible rain clearing'.
Oh thankyou, professor science! Whatever the f*%$ would I have done had I not been privy to such arcane information! You are truly the mouthpiece of Zeus himself!
I mean seriously what does that even mean? What kind of nonsense language is that anyway--so what's being said here really, when you break it down, is that it might rain, and if that does happen conditions will be overcast until they aren't anymore, but it also might not and if it does, it will stop raining at some point anyway at which time conditions will revert back to normal pre-rain conditions.
Imagine if I said to you 'Someone is going to win the lottery, and I know what the numbers will be.
And then I proceeded to prattle off every single possible number combination.
In the same way, weather forecasts aren't predictions. They are statements.
It's not hard to be right when literally every possible outcome is determined, and accounted for, within the language of the prediction itself.
*shakes head*
unbelievable
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