Originally posted by sandspider
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It is already warm for February - the monthly average is nearly 3 degrees above normal for this time of year according to the Central England Temperature from the Met Office. https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/...info_mean.html
Over the next few days the temperature will fluctuate up and down as warm and cold fronts move through associated with the storms and low pressure systems.
If the longer range models are to be believed, there is little chance of prolonged cold into March, and if (as currently forecast) high pressure builds from the south in a week or so, it could start to feel quite spring-like. However, the polar vortex is very strong and for now at least, any high that tries to build seems likely to get flattened fairly quickly by low pressure from the west.
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