Thanks Pen…much appreciated - sound advice as always.
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Originally posted by sandspider View PostThank you, interesting and informative. I don't plan any planting out yet, but would like to prune my orchard...
The next few days are expected to be milder and dry although temperatures will depend on the amount of cloud, which can be very variable under high pressure. Towards the end of the week it is expected to cool down nearer to average and become a bit more changeable as lower pressure starts to move in from the west.A life is like a garden. Perfect moments can be had, but not preserved, except in memory. LLAP. - Leonard Nimoy
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Originally posted by Penellype View Post
You should be fine pruning apple and pear trees, but don't prune any stone fruit such as cherries or plums until the sap starts to rise in late spring/early summer.
The next few days are expected to be milder and dry although temperatures will depend on the amount of cloud, which can be very variable under high pressure. Towards the end of the week it is expected to cool down nearer to average and become a bit more changeable as lower pressure starts to move in from the west.
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The weather apps are wildly inaccurate at the moment due to the difficulty of forecasting where the cloud will be. A good example is the 2 different models used on the Windfinder website. The GFS model which is used for the 10 day forecasts has been forecasting wall to wall sunshine for York yesterday and today with overnight temperatures dropping to around 2. The higher resolution "Superforecast", which does not tell you which model it uses, forecast sunshine yesterday, temperatures dropping to freezing last night and yesterday was forecasting today to be cloudy with a maximum temperature of 2. The reality is that yesterday was cloudy all day with temperatures around 7, and the minimum over night was around 5. Both models are predicting unbroken sunshine today, and it is still cloudy. The model that has performed best yesterday and today is the met office, which has useful forecasts of various factors such as temperature and cloud cover here https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather...emperature-map.
In this situation it is best to ignore weather apps and use your eyes. If it is cloudy it is unlikely to get much warmer during the day or be very cold at night. If the sky is clear and there is little wind to stir up the air, frost and possibly fog are likely. The longer the sky is clear for the colder it will get.
I hope this helps people who are wondering why the weather apps are so useless at present.
A life is like a garden. Perfect moments can be had, but not preserved, except in memory. LLAP. - Leonard Nimoy
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Please do not be fooled into thinking that winter is over because we have had a few milder days. Temperatures will return to nearer normal for the time of year in the middle of this week, and after that there is a lot of uncertainty. Most of the models are showing high pressure moving north to some degree, possibly as a response to the SSW mentioned above. This could, if it lands in the right place, lead to prolonged cold weather. It might not, but the possibility is there.
You have been warned!A life is like a garden. Perfect moments can be had, but not preserved, except in memory. LLAP. - Leonard Nimoy
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I've just read this and then looked ahead to our forecast for the end of the week. And yes, snow, heavy rain and very cold temperatures. And there as me doing exactly what you've just said, fooled into believing the worst of the winter was over. Thanks, Penellype. That's helped me make a few decisions.
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There is a "natural" weather forecaster chap (think he might be based in Kent?) who appears on This Morning a few times a year to give his seasonal forecasts. When he did it for this Winter, all I can remember was him saying March will turn cold and there will be snow.Last edited by peanut; 20-02-2023, 01:49 PM.Nestled somewhere in the Cambridgeshire Fens. Good soil, strong winds and 4 Giant Puffballs!
Always aim for the best result possible not the best possible result
Forever indebted to Potstubsdustbins
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Originally posted by peanut View PostThere is a "natural" weather forecaster chap (think he might be based in Kent?) who appears on This Morning a few times a year to give his seasonal forecasts. When he did it for this Winter, all I can remember was him saying March will turn cold and there will be snow.
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Originally posted by Plot70 View PostA white Easter is not out of the question.A life is like a garden. Perfect moments can be had, but not preserved, except in memory. LLAP. - Leonard Nimoy
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Originally posted by Plot70 View PostI have seen snow as late as April in Hampshire. It was in the late 1980s.A life is like a garden. Perfect moments can be had, but not preserved, except in memory. LLAP. - Leonard Nimoy
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