Penellype's Weather Channel 2

[Penellype]

The models are still going for a cold snap, particularly Sunday to Tuesday or Wednesday next week. Frost is very likely at night, so be prepared to bring in or cover anything vulnerable

[Bren In Pots]

Thanks Pen, looking at a couple of sites we're down to -2 on Sunday.

[Nicos]

Wow..thanks Pen..we’re down to -1C Mon and Tuesday nights. Hadn’t realised

[sandspider]

My forecasts are now saying lows of 3 or 4c over the next couple of says, not 0 or -1. We shall see. I won't be putting any indoor plants out till Tuesday anyway!

[Bren In Pots]

Thanks Pen, looking at a couple of sites we're down to -2 on Sunday.

Ours hasn't altered much they now say -1 as the lowest.

[Penellype]

My forecasts are now saying lows of 3 or 4c over the next couple of says, not 0 or -1. We shall see. I won't be putting any indoor plants out till Tuesday anyway!

Be careful - it can still get cold again - there is some model support for a cold Easter. The trouble with the sort of pattern that we are currently in is that the temperature swings wildly from warm to cold and back again as low pressures move from west to east, often with a transient ridge of high pressure in between (as we have today). As the lows move east, if they are far enough south, they pull in a cold northerly wind behind them. Until this pattern changes there will be a risk of cold nights.

[sandspider]

Thanks P. I want to start planting out eucalyptus trees! But perhaps I'll just put them outside in pots for now...

[Penellype]

A couple of potentially chilly nights coming up over the weekend with ground frost likely particularly on Sunday night. It could be cold enough for air frost in vulnerable locations. Check your local forecast and protect vulnerable plants if required.

[Bren In Pots]

Thanks Pen it looks like either 0c or 1c Sunday night for us depending which site I look at.

[sandspider]

Lows of 1C ish for us. But we're in a little frost trap, so I'll bring my trees in anyway. Roll on proper spring, and less rain!

[Penellype]

Lows of 1C ish for us. But we're in a little frost trap, so I'll bring my trees in anyway. Roll on proper spring, and less rain!

Hopefully less rain coming up once the current low pressure system moves away over the weekend. Probably not completely dry, but less horribly wet.

[Nicos]

-2C this morning and plenty of frost. Thanks for the warning Pen

[Penellype]

WARNING - despite newspaper hype about a heatwave, there is a distinct trend towards a cold spell in the last week of April. It is too far off to be certain, and as always at this range the models show a lot of scatter, but the scenario that causes cold, which is high pressure moving towards Greenland resulting in a northerly wind, is one that has appeared repeatedly over the winter and is distinctly plausible.

Do not rule out the possibility of some sharp night frosts and it is possible that there may be some snow on high ground, and even a dusting to low levels if the colder scenarios verify. Don't put away the fleece just yet!

[Bren In Pots]

Thanks Pen

I've still got tender seedling on the window sills and other seeding in the GH they look like staying there longer.

[Nicos]

Thanks for the warning Pen - we had a light frost last night which was unexpected. Good to be aware that more are most likely on their way .